Relevance of memory in Minority Games

Damien Challet, Matteo Marsili

Published 2000-04-12Version 1

By considering diffusion on De Bruijn graphs, we study in details the dynamics of the histories in the Minority Game, a model of competition between adaptative agents. Such graphs describe the structure of temporal evolution of $M$ bits strings, each node standing for a given string, i.e. a history in the Minority Game. We show that the frequency of visit of each history is not given by $1/2^M$ in the limit of large $M$ when the transition probabilities are biased. Consequently all quantities of the model do significantly depend on whether the histories are real, or uniformly and randomly sampled. We expose a self-consistent theory of the case of real histories, which turns out to be in very good agreement with numerical simulations.