Optimal Savings and Value of Population in A Stochastic Environment: Transient Behavior

Hao Liu, Suresh P. Sethi, Tak Kwong Wong, Sheung Chi Phillip Yam

Published 2024-02-16Version 1

We extend the work on optimal investment and consumption of a population considered in [2] to a general stochastic setting over a finite time horizon. We incorporate the Cobb-Douglas production function in the capital dynamics while the consumption utility function and the drift rate in the population dynamics can be general, in contrast with [2, 30, 31]. The dynamic programming formulation yields an unconventional nonlinear Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation, in which the Cobb-Douglas production function as the coefficient of the gradient of the value function induces the mismatching of power rates between capital and population. Moreover, the equation has a very singular term, essentially a very negative power of the partial derivative of the value function with respect to the capital, coming from the optimization of control, and their resolution turns out to be a complex problem not amenable to classical analysis. To show that this singular term, which has not been studied in any physical systems yet, does not actually blow up, we establish new pointwise generalized power laws for the partial derivative of the value function. Our contribution lies in providing a theoretical treatment that combines both the probabilistic approach and theory of partial differential equations to derive the pointwise upper and lower bounds as well as energy estimates in weighted Sobolev spaces. By then, we accomplish showing the well-posedness of classical solutions to a non-canonical parabolic equation arising from a long-lasting problem in macroeconomics.