de Finetti's theorem and the existence of regular conditional distributions and strong laws on exchangeable algebras

Peter Potaptchik, Daniel M. Roy, David Schrittesser

Published 2023-12-26Version 1

We show the following generalizations of the de Finetti--Hewitt--Savage theorem: Given an exchangeable sequence of random elements, the sequence is conditionally i.i.d. if and only if each random element admits a regular conditional distribution given the exchangeable $\sigma$-algebra (equivalently, the shift invariant or the tail algebra). We use this result, which holds without any regularity or technical conditions, to demonstrate that any exchangeable sequence of random elements whose common distribution is Radon is conditional iid.