From the binomial reshuffling model to Poisson distribution of money

Fei Cao, Nicholas F. Marshall

Published 2022-12-29Version 1

We present a novel reshuffling exchange model and investigate its long time behavior. In this model, two individuals are picked randomly, and their wealth $X_i$ and $X_j$ are redistributed by flipping a sequence of fair coins leading to a binomial distribution denoted $B \circ (X_i+X_j)$. This dynamics can be considered as a natural variant of the so-called uniform reshuffling model in econophysics [2,14]. As the number of individuals goes to infinity, we derive its mean-field limit, which links the stochastic dynamics to a deterministic infinite system of ordinary differential equations. The main result of this work is then to prove (using a coupling argument) that the distribution of wealth converges to the Poisson distribution in the $2$-Wasserstein metric. Numerical simulations illustrate the main result and suggest that the polynomial convergence decay might be further improved.