Data-Driven Distributed Mitigation Strategies and Analysis of Mutating Epidemic Processes

Philip E Pare, Sebin Gracy, Henrik Sandberg, Karl Henrik Johansson

Published 2020-08-17Version 1

In this paper we study a discrete-time SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible) model, where the infection and healing parameters and the underlying network may change over time. We provide conditions for the model to be well-defined and study its stability. For systems with homogeneous infection rates over symmetric graphs,we provide a sufficient condition for global exponential stability (GES) of the healthy state, that is, where the virus is eradicated. For systems with heterogeneous virus spread over directed graphs, provided that the variation is not too fast, a sufficient condition for GES of the healthy state is established.