Contact Process under heavy-tailed renewals on finite graphs

Luiz Renato Fontes, Pablo Almeida Gomes, Remy Sanchis

Published 2019-06-29Version 1

We investigate a non-Markovian analogue of the Harris contact process in a finite connected graph G=(V,E): an individual is attached to each site x in V, and it can be infected or healthy; the infection propagates to healthy neighbors just as in the usual contact process, according to independent exponential times with a fixed rate lambda>0; however, the recovery times for an individual are given by the points of a renewal process attached to its timeline, whose waiting times have distribution mu such that mu(t,infty) = t^{-alpha}L(t), where 1/2 < alpha < 1 and L is a slowly varying function; the renewal processes are assumed to be independent for different sites. We show that, starting with a single infected individual, if |V| < 2 + (2 alpha -1)/[(1-alpha)(2-alpha)], then the infection does not survive for any lambda; and if |V| > 1/(1-alpha), then, for every lambda, the infection has positive probability to survive