Parisian ruin for the dual risk process in discrete-time

Zbigniew Palmowski, Lewis Ramsden, Apostolos D. Papaioannou

Published 2017-08-19Version 1

In this paper we consider the Parisian ruin probabilities for the dual risk model in a discrete-time setting. By exploiting the strong Markov property of the risk process we derive a recursive expression for the fnite-time Parisian ruin probability, in terms of classic discrete-time dual ruin probabilities. Moreover, we obtain an explicit expression for the corresponding infnite-time Parisian ruin probability as a limiting case. In order to obtain more analytic results, we employ a conditioning argument and derive a new expression for the classic infinite-time ruin probability in the dual risk model and hence, an alternative form of the infnite-time Parisian ruin probability. Finally, we explore some interesting special cases, including the Binomial/Geometric model, and obtain a simple expression for the Parisian ruin probability of the Gambler's ruin problem.