Lower Bound on the Rate of Adaptation in an Asexual Population

Michael Kelly

Published 2015-08-18Version 1

We consider a model of asexually reproducing individuals with random mutations and selection. The rate of mutations is proportional to the population size, $N$. The mutations may be either beneficial or deleterious. In a paper by Yu, Etheridge and Cuthbertson (2009) it was conjectured that the average rate at which the mean fitness increases in this model is $O(\log N/(\log\log N)^2)$. In this paper we show that for any time $t > 0$ there exist values $\epsilon_N \rightarrow 0$ and a fixed $c > 0$ such that the maximum fitness of the population is greater than $cs\log N/(\log\log N)^2$ for all times $s \in [\epsilon_N,t]$ with probability tending to 1 as $N$ tends to infinity.