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arXiv:1304.1420 [math.PR]AbstractReferencesReviewsResources

Fluctuation Analysis for the Loss From Default

Konstantinos Spiliopoulos, Justin A. Sirignano, Kay Giesecke

Published 2013-04-04, updated 2015-02-18Version 4

We analyze the fluctuation of the loss from default around its large portfolio limit in a class of reduced-form models of correlated firm-by-firm default timing. We prove a weak convergence result for the fluctuation process and use it for developing a conditionally Gaussian approximation to the loss distribution. Numerical results illustrate the accuracy and computational efficiency of the approximation.

Journal: Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Volume 124, Issue 7, 2014, pp. 2322-2362
Categories: math.PR, q-fin.PM, q-fin.RM
Subjects: 60F05, 60F17, 60G55
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