{ "id": "math/0703831", "version": "v1", "published": "2007-03-28T05:24:45.000Z", "updated": "2007-03-28T05:24:45.000Z", "title": "A Limit Theorem for Financial Markets with Inert Investors", "authors": [ "Erhan Bayraktar", "Ulrich Horst", "Ronnie Sircar" ], "journal": "Mathematics of Operations Research, 2006, Volume 31 (4), 789-810", "categories": [ "math.PR", "q-fin.ST" ], "abstract": "We study the effect of investor inertia on stock price fluctuations with a market microstructure model comprising many small investors who are inactive most of the time. It turns out that semi-Markov processes are tailor made for modelling inert investors. With a suitable scaling, we show that when the price is driven by the market imbalance, the log price process is approximated by a process with long range dependence and non-Gaussian returns distributions, driven by a fractional Brownian motion. Consequently, investor inertia may lead to arbitrage opportunities for sophisticated market participants. The mathematical contributions are a functional central limit theorem for stationary semi-Markov processes, and approximation results for stochastic integrals of continuous semimartingales with respect to fractional Brownian motion.", "revisions": [ { "version": "v1", "updated": "2007-03-28T05:24:45.000Z" } ], "analyses": { "subjects": [ "60F13", "60G15", "91B28" ], "keywords": [ "inert investors", "financial markets", "fractional brownian motion", "functional central limit theorem", "investor inertia" ], "tags": [ "journal article" ], "note": { "typesetting": "TeX", "pages": 0, "language": "en", "license": "arXiv", "status": "editable", "adsabs": "2007math......3831B" } } }