{ "id": "cs/0512059", "version": "v2", "published": "2005-12-14T20:03:30.000Z", "updated": "2006-01-25T17:36:52.000Z", "title": "Competing with wild prediction rules", "authors": [ "Vladimir Vovk" ], "comment": "28 pages, 3 figures", "categories": [ "cs.LG" ], "abstract": "We consider the problem of on-line prediction competitive with a benchmark class of continuous but highly irregular prediction rules. It is known that if the benchmark class is a reproducing kernel Hilbert space, there exists a prediction algorithm whose average loss over the first N examples does not exceed the average loss of any prediction rule in the class plus a \"regret term\" of O(N^(-1/2)). The elements of some natural benchmark classes, however, are so irregular that these classes are not Hilbert spaces. In this paper we develop Banach-space methods to construct a prediction algorithm with a regret term of O(N^(-1/p)), where p is in [2,infty) and p-2 reflects the degree to which the benchmark class fails to be a Hilbert space.", "revisions": [ { "version": "v2", "updated": "2006-01-25T17:36:52.000Z" } ], "analyses": { "subjects": [ "I.2.6" ], "keywords": [ "wild prediction rules", "prediction algorithm", "average loss", "regret term", "natural benchmark classes" ], "note": { "typesetting": "TeX", "pages": 28, "language": "en", "license": "arXiv", "status": "editable", "adsabs": "2005cs.......12059V" } } }