{ "id": "cond-mat/9712318", "version": "v2", "published": "1997-12-30T13:27:48.000Z", "updated": "1998-01-06T18:34:25.000Z", "title": "Herd behavior and aggregate fluctuations in financial markets", "authors": [ "Rama Cont", "Jean-Philippe Bouchaud" ], "comment": "Minor modifications in text, references added. 29 pages, typesetted using LATEX", "journal": "Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2000, Volume 4, No 2, 170-196", "doi": "10.1017/s1365100500015029", "categories": [ "cond-mat.stat-mech", "adap-org", "cond-mat.dis-nn", "nlin.AO", "q-fin.ST" ], "abstract": "We present a simple model of a stock market where a random communication structure between agents gives rise to a heavy tails in the distribution of stock price variations in the form of an exponentially truncated power-law, similar to distributions observed in recent empirical studies of high frequency market data. Our model provides a link between two well-known market phenomena: the heavy tails observed in the distribution of stock market returns on one hand and 'herding' behavior in financial markets on the other hand. In particular, our study suggests a relation between the excess kurtosis observed in asset returns, the market order flow and the tendency of market participants to imitate each other.", "revisions": [ { "version": "v2", "updated": "1998-01-06T18:34:25.000Z" } ], "analyses": { "keywords": [ "financial markets", "aggregate fluctuations", "herd behavior", "heavy tails", "high frequency market data" ], "tags": [ "journal article" ], "note": { "typesetting": "LaTeX", "pages": 29, "language": "en", "license": "arXiv", "status": "editable", "adsabs": "1997cond.mat.12318C" } } }