{ "id": "cond-mat/9705075", "version": "v3", "published": "1997-05-08T17:22:03.000Z", "updated": "1997-05-28T18:32:40.000Z", "title": "Scaling and correlation in financial data", "authors": [ "Rama Cont" ], "comment": "LATEX file + 8 postscript figures.", "categories": [ "cond-mat.stat-mech", "adap-org", "cond-mat.dis-nn", "nlin.AO", "physics.data-an", "q-fin.ST" ], "abstract": "The statistical properties of the increments x(t+T) - x(t) of a financial time series depend on the time resolution T on which the increments are considered. A non-parametric approach is used to study the scale dependence of the empirical distribution of the price increments x(t+T) - x(t) of S&P Index futures, for time scales T, ranging from a few minutes to a few days using high-frequency price data. We show that while the variance increases linearly with the timescale, the kurtosis exhibits anomalous scaling properties, indicating a departure from the iid hypothesis. Study of the dependence structure of the increments shows that although the autocorrelation function decays rapidly to zero in a few minutes, the correlation of their squares exhibits a slow power law decay with exponent 0.37, indicating persistence in the scale of fluctuations. We establish a link between the scaling behavior and the dependence structure of the increments : in particular, the anomalous scaling of kurtosis may be explained by \"long memory\" properties of the square of the increments.", "revisions": [ { "version": "v3", "updated": "1997-05-28T18:32:40.000Z" } ], "analyses": { "keywords": [ "financial data", "increments", "slow power law decay", "financial time series depend", "dependence structure" ], "note": { "typesetting": "LaTeX", "pages": 0, "language": "en", "license": "arXiv", "status": "editable", "adsabs": "1997cond.mat..5075C" } } }