{
  "id": "cond-mat/0102032",
  "version": "v1",
  "published": "2001-02-02T20:57:25.000Z",
  "updated": "2001-02-02T20:57:25.000Z",
  "title": "The Phase Dynamics of Earthquakes: Implications for Forecasting in Southern California",
  "authors": [
    "Kristy F. Tiampo",
    "John B. Rundle",
    "Seth McGinnis",
    "Susanna Gross",
    "William Klein"
  ],
  "comment": "email: kristy@fractal.colorado.edu",
  "categories": [
    "cond-mat.stat-mech"
  ],
  "abstract": "We analyze the space-time patterns of earthquake occurrence in southern California using a new method that treats earthquakes as a phase dynamical system. The system state vector is used to obtain a probability measure for current and future earthquake occurrence. Thousands of statistical tests indicate the method has considerable forecast skill. We emphasize that the method is not a model, and there are no unconstrained or free parameters to be determined by fits to training data sets.",
  "revisions": [
    {
      "version": "v1",
      "updated": "2001-02-02T20:57:25.000Z"
    }
  ],
  "analyses": {
    "keywords": [
      "southern california",
      "phase dynamics",
      "implications",
      "earthquake occurrence",
      "system state vector"
    ],
    "note": {
      "typesetting": "TeX",
      "pages": 0,
      "language": "en",
      "license": "arXiv",
      "status": "editable"
    }
  }
}