{ "id": "2502.08004", "version": "v1", "published": "2025-02-11T22:58:18.000Z", "updated": "2025-02-11T22:58:18.000Z", "title": "Optimizing Likelihoods via Mutual Information: Bridging Simulation-Based Inference and Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design", "authors": [ "Vincent D. Zaballa", "Elliot E. Hui" ], "comment": "Preprint. Under Review", "categories": [ "stat.ML", "cs.LG" ], "abstract": "Simulation-based inference (SBI) is a method to perform inference on a variety of complex scientific models with challenging inference (inverse) problems. Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design (BOED) aims to efficiently use experimental resources to make better inferences. Various stochastic gradient-based BOED methods have been proposed as an alternative to Bayesian optimization and other experimental design heuristics to maximize information gain from an experiment. We demonstrate a link via mutual information bounds between SBI and stochastic gradient-based variational inference methods that permits BOED to be used in SBI applications as SBI-BOED. This link allows simultaneous optimization of experimental designs and optimization of amortized inference functions. We evaluate the pitfalls of naive design optimization using this method in a standard SBI task and demonstrate the utility of a well-chosen design distribution in BOED. We compare this approach on SBI-based models in real-world simulators in epidemiology and biology, showing notable improvements in inference.", "revisions": [ { "version": "v1", "updated": "2025-02-11T22:58:18.000Z" } ], "analyses": { "keywords": [ "bayesian optimal experimental design", "mutual information", "bridging simulation-based inference", "gradient-based variational inference methods", "optimizing likelihoods" ], "note": { "typesetting": "TeX", "pages": 0, "language": "en", "license": "arXiv", "status": "editable" } } }