{ "id": "2102.10583", "version": "v1", "published": "2021-02-21T11:04:10.000Z", "updated": "2021-02-21T11:04:10.000Z", "title": "Inverse Gaussian Process regression for likelihood-free inference", "authors": [ "Hongqiao Wang", "Ziqiao Ao", "Tengchao Yu", "Jinglai Li" ], "categories": [ "stat.CO", "stat.ME" ], "abstract": "In this work we consider Bayesian inference problems with intractable likelihood functions. We present a method to compute an approximate of the posterior with a limited number of model simulations. The method features an inverse Gaussian Process regression (IGPR), i.e., one from the output of a simulation model to the input of it. Within the method, we provide an adaptive algorithm with a tempering procedure to construct the approximations of the marginal posterior distributions. With examples we demonstrate that IGPR has a competitive performance compared to some commonly used algorithms, especially in terms of statistical stability and computational efficiency, while the price to pay is that it can only compute a weighted Gaussian approximation of the marginal posteriors.", "revisions": [ { "version": "v1", "updated": "2021-02-21T11:04:10.000Z" } ], "analyses": { "keywords": [ "inverse gaussian process regression", "likelihood-free inference", "bayesian inference problems", "marginal posterior distributions", "computational efficiency" ], "note": { "typesetting": "TeX", "pages": 0, "language": "en", "license": "arXiv", "status": "editable" } } }