{ "id": "2005.07972", "version": "v1", "published": "2020-05-16T12:38:19.000Z", "updated": "2020-05-16T12:38:19.000Z", "title": "Conformal Prediction: a Unified Review of Theory and New Challenges", "authors": [ "Gianluca Zeni", "Matteo Fontana", "Simone Vantini" ], "categories": [ "cs.LG", "econ.EM", "stat.ME", "stat.ML" ], "abstract": "In this work we provide a review of basic ideas and novel developments about Conformal Prediction -- an innovative distribution-free, non-parametric forecasting method, based on minimal assumptions -- that is able to yield in a very straightforward way predictions sets that are valid in a statistical sense also in in the finite sample case. The in-depth discussion provided in the paper covers the theoretical underpinnings of Conformal Prediction, and then proceeds to list the more advanced developments and adaptations of the original idea.", "revisions": [ { "version": "v1", "updated": "2020-05-16T12:38:19.000Z" } ], "analyses": { "keywords": [ "conformal prediction", "unified review", "challenges", "finite sample case", "straightforward way predictions sets" ], "note": { "typesetting": "TeX", "pages": 0, "language": "en", "license": "arXiv", "status": "editable" } } }