{ "id": "2003.09219", "version": "v1", "published": "2020-03-20T12:11:29.000Z", "updated": "2020-03-20T12:11:29.000Z", "title": "Posterior contraction rates for non-parametric state and drift estimation", "authors": [ "Sebastian Reich", "Paul Rozdeba" ], "categories": [ "math.ST", "stat.TH" ], "abstract": "We consider a combined state and drift estimation problem for the linear stochastic heat equation. The infinite-dimensional Bayesian inference problem is formulated in terms of the Kalman-Bucy filter over an extended state space, and its long-time asymptotic properties are studied. Asymptotic posterior contraction rates in the unknown drift function are the main contribution of this paper. Such rates have been studied before for stationary non-parametric Bayesian inverse problems, and here we demonstrate the consistency of our time-dependent formulation with these previous results building upon scale separation and a slow manifold approximation.", "revisions": [ { "version": "v1", "updated": "2020-03-20T12:11:29.000Z" } ], "analyses": { "subjects": [ "62G20", "62G05", "60H15", "62F15", "62M20" ], "keywords": [ "drift estimation", "non-parametric state", "stationary non-parametric bayesian inverse problems", "infinite-dimensional bayesian inference problem", "linear stochastic heat equation" ], "note": { "typesetting": "TeX", "pages": 0, "language": "en", "license": "arXiv", "status": "editable" } } }