{ "id": "1705.00369", "version": "v1", "published": "2017-04-30T19:54:04.000Z", "updated": "2017-04-30T19:54:04.000Z", "title": "Optimal stopping of a Brownian bridge with an unknown pinning point", "authors": [ "Erik Ekström", "Juozas Vaicenavicius" ], "comment": "20 pages, 5 figures", "categories": [ "math.PR" ], "abstract": "The problem of stopping a Brownian bridge with an unknown pinning point to maximise the expected value at the stopping time is studied. A few general properties such as continuity of the value function are established. Structural properties of an optimal stopping region are shown to crucially depend on the prior. However, we provide a general condition for a one-sided stopping region. More detailed analysis is conducted in the cases of the two-point and the mixed Gaussian priors, revealing a rich structure present in the problem.", "revisions": [ { "version": "v1", "updated": "2017-04-30T19:54:04.000Z" } ], "analyses": { "subjects": [ "60G40", "60G35", "60J25" ], "keywords": [ "unknown pinning point", "brownian bridge", "optimal stopping", "stopping region", "rich structure" ], "note": { "typesetting": "TeX", "pages": 20, "language": "en", "license": "arXiv", "status": "editable" } } }