{ "id": "1608.03352", "version": "v1", "published": "2016-08-11T02:54:31.000Z", "updated": "2016-08-11T02:54:31.000Z", "title": "Some Contributions to Sequential Monte Carlo Methods for Option Pricing", "authors": [ "Deborshee Sen", "Ajay Jasra", "Yan Zhou" ], "categories": [ "stat.CO", "q-fin.CP", "q-fin.PR" ], "abstract": "Pricing options is an important problem in financial engineering. In many scenarios of practical interest, financial option prices associated to an underlying asset reduces to computing an expectation w.r.t.~a diffusion process. In general, these expectations cannot be calculated analytically, and one way to approximate these quantities is via the Monte Carlo method; Monte Carlo methods have been used to price options since at least the 1970's. It has been seen in Del Moral, P. \\& Shevchenko, P.V. (2014) `Valuation of barrier options using Sequential Monte Carlo' and Jasra, A. \\& Del Moral, P. (2011) `Sequential Monte Carlo for option pricing' that Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are a natural tool to apply in this context and can vastly improve over standard Monte Carlo. In this article, in a similar spirit to Del Moral, P. \\& Shevchenko, P.V. (2014) `Valuation of barrier options using sequential Monte Carlo' and Jasra, A. \\& Del Moral, P. (2011) `Sequential Monte Carlo for option pricing' we show that one can achieve significant gains by using SMC methods by constructing a sequence of artificial target densities over time. In particular, we approximate the optimal importance sampling distribution in the SMC algorithm by using a sequence of weighting functions. This is demonstrated on two examples, barrier options and target accrual redemption notes (TARN's). We also provide a proof of unbiasedness of our SMC estimate.", "revisions": [ { "version": "v1", "updated": "2016-08-11T02:54:31.000Z" } ], "analyses": { "keywords": [ "sequential monte carlo methods", "option pricing", "del moral", "barrier options", "target accrual redemption notes" ], "note": { "typesetting": "TeX", "pages": 0, "language": "en", "license": "arXiv", "status": "editable" } } }