{ "id": "1505.02077", "version": "v1", "published": "2015-05-08T16:02:06.000Z", "updated": "2015-05-08T16:02:06.000Z", "title": "Estimating the extremal index through local dependence", "authors": [ "Helena Ferreira", "Marta Ferreira" ], "categories": [ "math.ST", "stat.TH" ], "abstract": "The extremal index is an important parameter in the characterization of extreme values of a stationary sequence. Our new estimation approach for this parameter is based on the extremal behavior under the local dependence condition D$^{(k)}$($u_n$). We compare a process satisfying one of this hierarchy of increasingly weaker local mixing conditions with a process of cycles satisfying the D$^{(2)}$($u_n$) condition. We also analyze local dependence within moving maxima processes and derive a necessary and sufficient condition for D$^{(k)}$($u_n$). In order to evaluate the performance of the proposed estimators, we apply an empirical diagnostic for local dependence conditions, we conduct a simulation study and compare with existing methods. An application to a financial time series is also presented.", "revisions": [ { "version": "v1", "updated": "2015-05-08T16:02:06.000Z" } ], "analyses": { "subjects": [ "60G70", "62G32" ], "keywords": [ "extremal index", "local dependence condition", "increasingly weaker local mixing conditions", "analyze local dependence", "financial time series" ], "note": { "typesetting": "TeX", "pages": 0, "language": "en", "license": "arXiv", "status": "editable" } } }