{ "id": "1412.3771", "version": "v1", "published": "2014-12-11T19:32:41.000Z", "updated": "2014-12-11T19:32:41.000Z", "title": "Asymptotics for a Class of Self-Exciting Point Processes", "authors": [ "Tzu-Wei Yang", "Lingjiong Zhu" ], "comment": "35 pages, 9 figures", "categories": [ "math.PR" ], "abstract": "In this paper, we study a class of self-exciting point processes. The intensity of the point process has a nonlinear dependence on the past history and time. When a new jump occurs, the intensity increases and we expect more jumps to come. Otherwise, the intensity decays. The model is a marriage between stochasticity and dynamical system. In the short-term, stochasticity plays a major role and in the long-term, dynamical system governs the limiting behavior of the system. We study the law of large numbers, central limit theorem, large deviations and asymptotics for the tail probabilities.", "revisions": [ { "version": "v1", "updated": "2014-12-11T19:32:41.000Z" } ], "analyses": { "keywords": [ "self-exciting point processes", "asymptotics", "central limit theorem", "jump occurs", "intensity increases" ], "note": { "typesetting": "TeX", "pages": 35, "language": "en", "license": "arXiv", "status": "editable", "adsabs": "2014arXiv1412.3771Y" } } }