{ "id": "1001.3003", "version": "v2", "published": "2010-01-18T10:13:06.000Z", "updated": "2010-11-12T14:07:23.000Z", "title": "On refined volatility smile expansion in the Heston model", "authors": [ "P. Friz", "S. Gerhold", "A. Gulisashvili", "S. Sturm" ], "categories": [ "q-fin.PR", "math.PR" ], "abstract": "It is known that Heston's stochastic volatility model exhibits moment explosion, and that the critical moment $s_+$ can be obtained by solving (numerically) a simple equation. This yields a leading order expansion for the implied volatility at large strikes: $\\sigma_{BS}( k,T)^{2}T\\sim \\Psi (s_+-1) \\times k$ (Roger Lee's moment formula). Motivated by recent \"tail-wing\" refinements of this moment formula, we first derive a novel tail expansion for the Heston density, sharpening previous work of Dragulescu and Yakovenko [Quant. Finance 2, 6 (2002), 443--453], and then show the validity of a refined expansion of the type $\\sigma_{BS}( k,T) ^{2}T=( \\beta_{1}k^{1/2}+\\beta_{2}+...)^{2}$, where all constants are explicitly known as functions of $s_+$, the Heston model parameters, spot vol and maturity $T$. In the case of the \"zero-correlation\" Heston model such an expansion was derived by Gulisashvili and Stein [Appl. Math. Optim. 61, 3 (2010), 287--315]. Our methods and results may prove useful beyond the Heston model: the entire quantitative analysis is based on affine principles: at no point do we need knowledge of the (explicit, but cumbersome) closed form expression of the Fourier transform of $\\log S_{T}$\\ (equivalently: Mellin transform of $S_{T}$ ); what matters is that these transforms satisfy ordinary differential equations of Riccati type. Secondly, our analysis reveals a new parameter (\"critical slope\"), defined in a model free manner, which drives the second and higher order terms in tail- and implied volatility expansions.", "revisions": [ { "version": "v2", "updated": "2010-11-12T14:07:23.000Z" } ], "analyses": { "subjects": [ "60E99", "91B70" ], "keywords": [ "heston model", "refined volatility smile expansion", "transforms satisfy ordinary differential equations", "hestons stochastic volatility model", "roger lees moment formula" ], "note": { "typesetting": "TeX", "pages": 0, "language": "en", "license": "arXiv", "status": "editable", "adsabs": "2010arXiv1001.3003F" } } }